Kentucky Derby 2021 odds, post positions: Legendary expert who nailed Tiz the Law gives surprising picks


The post-position draw for Saturday’s Kentucky Derby 2021 solidified Essential Quality’s stranglehold on the pre-race betting. The undefeated thoroughbred, who’s 2-1 in the 2021 Kentucky Derby odds, drew post No. 14 and will have 5-1 favorite Rock Your World next to him in the No. 15 post position. The other two 2021 Kentucky Derby favorites are further on the inside, as 6-1 choice Known Agenda is on the rail, while 8-1 pick Hot Rod Charlie drew post position No. 9.

Can Essential Quality use his positioning to his advantage in the 2021 Kentucky Derby field on Saturday and win as the top favorite? Will another horse break Essential Quality’s five-race winning streak in the 147th Run for the Roses? Before making any 2021 Kentucky Derby picks, you need to see the latest horse racing predictions from legendary handicapper Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg.

The former horse racing analyst for ESPN and NBC, Goldberg became a legendary handicapper by going straight to the source. In 2004, he had dinner before the Belmont Stakes with trainer Nick Zito at a pizzeria in Queens. The dinner led Goldberg to play Zito’s 36-1 monster longshot Birdstone to win and on top of his exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets. When Birdstone shocked the world, Goldberg won $24,000. 

His success has continued at SportsLine. In the San Felipe Stakes in March, Hammer gave out a $20 exacta that paid 9-1. In the Belmont Stakes in June, Goldberg was all over Tiz the Law, who scored a convincing victory in the year’s first Triple Crown race. In the Blue Grass Stakes, Hammer nailed the Art Collector-Swiss Skydiver exacta. In July, he hit the Authentic-Ny Traffic exacta in the Haskell. In August in the Pacific Classic, he gave out the Maximum Security-Sharp Samurai exacta.

Before last year’s Kentucky Derby, trainer Bob Baffert told Goldberg that Authentic was his best Derby runner. As a result, Goldberg listed him among his top horses, and Authentic held off Tiz the Law by almost four lengths. Anyone who has followed Goldberg’s lead is way up.

Now, Goldberg has studied the 2021 Kentucky Derby field and released his picks, predictions and top contenders only at SportsLine.

Top 2021 Kentucky Derby predictions

For the 147th Run for the Roses, Goldberg is completely fading Known Agenda, even though he is one of the top favorites and won the Florida Derby. Hammer says there are far better values in this loaded 2021 Kentucky Derby field of 20. Winners of the Florida Derby have had plenty of success at the Kentucky Derby, but Known Agenda was buried on the rail for “The Fastest Two Minutes in Sports,” and that’s not a post draw that fits the horse stylistically.

Irad Ortiz Jr. swung him out wide to win at Gulfstream Park, an option that might not be available with speed likely to pin him inside. Even though he’s won two races in a row with blinkers on, there are clear indications that he struggles with traffic after he took an unusually wide berth at the line in his Florida Derby win. Prior to putting on the blinkers, he had turned in two disappointing performances at the Remsen Stakes and the Sam F. Davis Stakes.

Another curveball: Goldberg is high on Mandaloun, even though he’s a big 15-1 long shot. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Brad Cox-trained thoroughbred is looking to shake off a disappointing sixth-place run in the Louisiana Derby and get back to the winning ways he displayed at the Risen Star Stakes in February.

The son of Into Mischief out of Brooch was a superstar at the Louisiana Fair Grounds that day, outrunning Proxy and Midnight Bourbon for the victory. With veteran jockey Florent Geroux aboard at Churchill Downs, Goldberg likes the value Mandaloun is offering. “I think Cox will have him ready for this race,” Goldberg told SportsLine. “He’s a good bet underneath.”

How to make 2021 Kentucky Derby predictions

After getting the inside scoop from the horse’s trainer, Goldberg’s top pick will shock you. He’s also backing an underdog who drew the “perfect post.” He’s sharing which horses to back here. 

So who wins the 2021 Kentucky Derby? And which sleeper is a must-back? Check out the latest 2021 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Goldberg’s picks for the Kentucky Derby.

2021 Kentucky Derby contenders, odds

Post # Horse Odds
1 Known Agenda 6-1
2 Like the King 50-1
3 Brooklyn Strong 50-1
4 Keepmeinmind 50-1
5 Sainthood 50-1
6 O Besos 20-1
7 Mandaloun 15-1
8 Medina Spirit 15-1
9 Hot Rod Charlie 8-1
10 Midnight Bourbon 20-1
11 Dynamic One 20-1
12 Helium 50-1
13 Hidden Stash 50-1
14 Essential Quality 2-1
15 Rock Your World 5-1
16 King Fury 20-1
17 Highly Motivated 10-1
18 Super Stock 30-1
19 Soup and Sandwich 30-1
20 Bourbonic 30-1

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